American bourbon eyes India as trade barriers tighten elsewhere

Faced with their bottles being cleared from Canadian stores and the imminent prospect of 200% tariffs in the European Union, the distillers of Kentucky and Tennessee are looking to open new markets for their whiskies. The post American bourbon eyes India as trade barriers tighten elsewhere appeared first on The Drinks Business.

Mar 19, 2025 - 11:21
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American bourbon eyes India as trade barriers tighten elsewhere
Faced with their bottles being cleared from Canadian stores and the imminent prospect of 200% tariffs in the European Union, the distillers of Kentucky and Tennessee are looking to open new markets for their whiskies. American bourbon with ice, sitting on the American Flag. As they navigate challenges in other international markets, these distillers are now setting their sights on India, the world's second-largest whiskey market after the United States, recognising its immense potential for growth and expansion. Its population is fast approaching 1.5 billion, with upward mobility and disposable household incomes climbing in tandem.  According to Statista, the country’s total consumption of alcoholic beverages was expected to surpass 6 billion litres last year, and it generated revenues of US$33 billion from spirits, only eclipsed by America itself. Of the spirits consumed in India, roughly 95% are brown, with whiskey by far the largest category, especially Scotch. But it is effectively a bourbon desert. Sales to India totalled a mere US$8.8 million last year, putting it in 23rd position in the export league table, coming in behind Singapore, New Zealand and the United Arab Emirates.

Industry leaders seek solutions

At the recent James B. Beam Institute industry conference at the University of Kentucky, the heads of Suntory (maker of Jim Beam), Brown Forman (Jack Daniels and Woodford Reserve) and Heaven Hill Brands (Evan Williams) all agreed that the shrinking of the bourbon boom during the coronavirus pandemic demanded new thinking. American whiskey is showing clear signs of market pressure, with volumes dropping 2% in the first eight months of 2024, according to IWSR data. That followed years of consistent growth, where the category enjoyed a 5% compound annual growth rate between 2019 and 2022.  “We’ve all increased production to catch up with demand and now we’ve caught up. So now we’re ready. We’re ready. And when these tariffs go away we’re ready to experience ... the unknown demand that exists across the entire world”, said Greg Hughes, president of Suntory Global Spirits.  Kate Latts, co-president of Heaven Hill Brands, agreed. “If we could just get, as Greg said, a little bit of that Scotch and beer consumption, we’re going to be in a place where we don’t have enough. “So first we need to get rid of the tariffs and then we can make that all happen.” “There’s still a big world out there for us to grow the industry in,” Hughes said. “India’s a huge opportunity market for the spirits industry ... If we can get 5 (per cent) of the Scotch market in India, we’ll have all the distilleries in Kentucky full.”

Trade talks

Both Suntory and Brown Forman have stepped up their efforts in India in the past couple of years and recently the industry was given a fillip in trade talks between President Donald Trump and India’s Premier, Narendra Modi.  One of the outcomes was India agreeing to reduce its import tariffs on American whiskies to 100% while leaving those on other imported spirits, notably Scotch whisky at 150%. While there are hopes in Britain that the long-mooted trade deal with India will see tariffs cut and boost the market for scotch, little progress has been evident, handing the American distillers an immediate competitive advantage. Meanwhile, Lawson Whiting, the CEO of Brown Forman who recently called Canada’s effective embargo of bourbon “worse than tariffs” because it halted sales rather than trimming them, said he was sanguine about immediate prospects. He told the conference: It’s a good sign that the EU announced a deadline two weeks out [for imposing its threatened 200% tariff on American whiskies] There’s time to negotiate.” He was hopeful that Washington and Brussels could reach a deal on alcohol that would “keep French wine coming in and Kentucky bourbon flowing out. Both administrations have some time to work things out and let’s hope that’s what they do,” he said.