The Montreux Paradox: How a Ukraine Ceasefire Could Set the Stage for Escalation in the Black Sea
Since spring 2022, Russia has been prevented from reinforcing its navy in the Black Sea by a near-antique international convention and some very contemporary Turkish politics. A ceasefire could change that. After more than three years of war in Ukraine, the election of Donald Trump as president of the United States has changed the game. On May 11, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky accepted a Russian proposal for direct talks in Istanbul, challenging Vladimir Putin to show up in person and agree to a thirty-day ceasefire. The Turkey meeting may or may not happen, and the guns may or may not fall silent The post The Montreux Paradox: How a Ukraine Ceasefire Could Set the Stage for Escalation in the Black Sea appeared first on War on the Rocks.
Since spring 2022, Russia has been prevented from reinforcing its navy in the Black Sea by a near-antique international convention and some very contemporary Turkish politics. A ceasefire could change that. After more than three years of war in Ukraine, the election of Donald Trump as president of the United States has changed the game. On May 11, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky accepted a Russian proposal for direct talks in Istanbul, challenging Vladimir Putin to show up in person and agree to a thirty-day ceasefire. The Turkey meeting may or may not happen, and the guns may or may not fall silent
The post The Montreux Paradox: How a Ukraine Ceasefire Could Set the Stage for Escalation in the Black Sea appeared first on War on the Rocks.
